Album of the Year
Beyoncé, I Am… Sasha Fierce
The Black Eyed Peas, The E.N.D.
Lady Gaga, The Fame
Dave Matthews Band, Big Whiskey and the Groogrux King
Taylor Swift, Fearless
Out of the four general field categories, this one in particular has been the most hit-or-miss for me in terms of winners. This probably has to do with the fact that it has continually played-out like some sort of make-up award for artists past their prime. While I don’t believe these awards should always cater to the mainstream, it is just as lame for voters to vote for a veteran just because they are a veteran.
Now that I’ve gotten that off my chest, this year’s Album line-up has a pretty foreseeable outcome. I would be SHOCKED if either the Black Eyed Peas or Lady GaGa took this. As forward-thinking as their respective releases may be, it’s hard for me to imagine a Bob Dylan or B.B. King getting it. The same could be said for I Am… Sasha Fierce which would cancel out Beyoncé as well.
Ideally, it would seem like Taylor Swift has this in the bag. Fearless was the best selling album of last year with monster multi format singles and critical acclaim to boot. But, the Dave Matthews Band have yet to be recognized in this magnitude and Big Whiskey did garner favorable reviews also. Since Swift has garnered more recognition for being a serious singer-songwriter, I’m hoping that will be enough to overcome any other bias facing her this Sunday night.
Winner: Taylor Swift, Fearless
Runner-Up: Dave Matthews Band, Big Whiskey and the Groogrux King
Record of the Year
The Black Eyed Peas, “I Gotta Feeling”
Kings of Leon, “Use Somebody”
Lady Gaga, “Poker Face”
Taylor Swift, “You Belong with Me”
Interestingly enough, none of these records come off as a “conservative” choice for voters to gravitate to (which is often the case). This makes me very happy because a lot of them will be forced to choose something that they normally wouldn’t be feel comfortable doing.
Once again, The Black Eyed Peas and Lady GaGa should unfortunately be content with just being nominated. More so than previous years, Beyoncé has a great shot at winning outside of the genre categories. While “Halo” may not be as memorable as “Single Ladies”, it is close enough to what is typically chosen here.
With that being said, I have a feeling “Use Somebody” and “You Belong with Me” will fare better on GRAMMY night. If Swift is passed over in Album, this is the second most likely place for her to be victorious. At the same time, it is common for winners of Song and Record to parallel each other. Since I’m pretty content with forecasting Kings of Leon in Song, they’ll probably follow suit in Record too.
Winner: Kings of Leon, “Use Somebody”
Runner-Up: Taylor Swift, “You Belong with Me”
If you’re anxious like myself to see how my predictions will fare come GRAMMY time, make sure you tune in to CBS tonight @ 8PM ET/5PM WT!